Description

This analysis provides a forecast of MKR prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2026-01-18 1018.041137 1146.439277 1286.360681 1450.413614 1637.808618 1845.557905 2093.827718
2026-01-25 831.740146 1008.942794 1218.422276 1485.445615 1818.360770 2221.797937 2750.836778
2026-02-01 723.415197 923.147273 1172.812940 1510.108996 1957.380573 2534.967805 3345.129649
2026-02-08 643.623580 855.280179 1131.985344 1523.870676 2070.464299 2814.455423 3918.597835
2026-02-15 583.574714 802.782751 1100.594689 1539.937748 2180.329061 3093.292001 4517.861808
2026-02-22 539.603401 765.529995 1083.206938 1569.401693 2306.994810 3404.004013 5196.822939
2026-03-01 484.625725 705.930537 1026.442296 1532.825308 2328.264550 3556.048776 5646.383217
2026-03-08 435.044935 648.853211 966.826131 1483.819381 2321.992072 3660.336084 6026.281625
2026-03-15 392.736239 598.536643 912.128809 1435.658911 2309.637779 3749.923575 6387.576693
2026-03-22 376.429288 586.705952 915.336875 1479.380313 2450.462924 4105.188894 7251.802728
2026-03-29 356.729281 567.523320 904.696357 1498.349908 2549.985993 4398.628217 8040.230839
2026-04-05 337.279856 546.950913 889.687071 1507.775085 2632.593756 4669.180608 8818.566783
2026-04-12 318.196303 525.882529 872.771349 1513.486875 2711.393186 4945.843192 9656.644696
2026-04-19 305.978000 515.506874 873.224986 1550.271998 2851.654663 5354.788005 10822.622808
2026-04-26 293.077196 502.774216 868.243243 1576.123662 2973.068949 5739.983339 11993.788327
2026-05-03 279.586293 487.841286 857.917607 1590.549697 3072.945599 6092.465337 13144.553311
2026-05-10 267.573386 474.586485 849.429038 1607.393199 3178.876788 6468.823121 14404.606232
2026-05-17 258.356666 465.722613 848.261132 1638.283155 3316.625423 6928.380134 15929.340298
2026-05-24 241.200725 440.678961 814.406026 1599.936951 3303.132534 7054.248225 16664.081039
2026-05-31 223.945315 414.247680 775.910068 1548.566674 3255.885104 7098.138571 17199.233087
2026-06-07 208.190437 389.679895 739.332867 1498.090543 3205.524270 7128.955424 17705.357287
2026-06-14 204.106039 387.719025 747.562585 1543.913835 3377.604655 7703.847006 19744.423626
2026-06-21 197.510018 380.270557 744.075284 1563.797409 3491.603272 8152.093985 21513.213144